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Journal Article

Connected Vehicle Data Time Series Dependence for Machine Learning Model Selection and Specification

2021-04-06
2021-01-0246
Connected vehicle data unlock compelling solutions for vehicle owners and fleet managers. In selecting machine learning algorithms for use in predicting a connected vehicle signal value, time series dependency is critical to understand. With little to no time series dependency, conventional machine learning models may be used with a feature set that has few or no lag variables. If there is a lot of time series dependency including long-term dependencies, deep learning architectures like variants of recurrent neural networks (RNN) may be a better approach. Further, at any time step, RNN features may be specified to use some number of past time steps to predict the latest value. This paper seeks to identify time series dependency of connected vehicle signals, and selection of the number of time steps to look back in the features set to minimize error.
Technical Paper

Machine Learning with Decision Trees and Multi-Armed Bandits: An Interactive Vehicle Recommender System

2019-04-02
2019-01-1079
Recommender systems guide a user to useful objects in a large space of possible options in a personalized way. In this paper, we study recommender systems for vehicles. Compared to previous research on recommender systems in other domains (e.g., movies or music), there are two major challenges associated with recommending vehicles. First, typical customers purchase fewer cars than movies or pieces of music. Thus, it is difficult to obtain rich information about a customer’s vehicle purchase history. Second, content information obtained about a customer (e.g., demographics, vehicle preferences, etc.) is also difficult to acquire during a relatively short stay in a dealership. To address these two challenges, we propose an interactive vehicle recommender system based a novel machine learning method that integrates decision trees and multi-armed bandits. Decision tree learning effectively selects important questions to ask the customer and encodes the customer's key preferences.
Technical Paper

Policies to Maximize Fuel Economy of Plug-In Hybrids in a Rental Fleet

2018-04-03
2018-01-0670
Plug-in hybrid (PHEV) technology offers the ability to achieve zero tailpipe emissions coupled with convenient refueling. Fleet adoption of PHEVs, often motivated by organizational and regulatory sustainability targets, may not always align with optimal use cases. In a car rental application, barriers to improving fuel economy over a conventional hybrid include: diminished benefits of additional battery capacity on long-distance trips, sparse electric charging infrastructure at the fleet location, lack of renter understanding of electric charging options, and a principle-agent problem where the driver accrues fewer benefits than costs for actions that improve fuel economy, like charging and eco-driving. This study uses high-resolution driving data collected from twelve Ford Fusion Energi sedans owned by University of California, Davis (UC Davis), where the vehicles are rented out for university-related activities.
Journal Article

Towards Design of Sustainable Smart Mobility Services through a Cloud Platform

2020-04-14
2020-01-1048
People and their communities are looking for transportation solutions that reduce travel time, improve well-being and accessibility, and reduce emissions and traffic congestion. Although new mobility services like ride-hailing advertise improvements in these areas, closer inspection has revealed a discrepancy between industry claims and reality. Key decision-makers, including citizens, cities and enterprise, and mobility service providers have the opportunity to leverage connected vehicle and connected device data through cloud-based APIs. We propose a GHG data analytics framework that functions on top of a cloud platform to provide unique system-level perspectives on operating transportation services, from procuring the most environmentally and people friendly vehicles to scheduling and designing the services based on data insights.
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