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Air Quality Modeling Working Group developed two models to evaluate effects of automobile emission reduction measures on air quality improvement: Urban Air Quality Simulation Model in which secondary aerosol formation processes have been incorporated, and Roadside Air Quality Simulation Model in which micro-scale traffic flow has been taken into consideration. Concretely, a model has been built up for estimating SPM concentration in ambient air in which high concentrated air pollutants have been contained during summer and winter. The model has been built up by using UAM (Urban Airshed Model) as base model, and the following modification has been made to the base model. First, ISSOROPIA (secondary inorganic aerosol equilibrium model) has been added to the base model, and a secondary organic aerosol formation/reaction model (SOA model) has been incorporated into the model.

Comparing with the previous Auto/Oil programs, the total plan and current status of the air quality modeling study in JCAP are presented. The total plan of air quality modeling study has the following characteristics: 1) Vehicle emission inventory program is developed by considering the original features of Japan. 2) Not only the urban air quality but also the road sides pollutants dispersion is evaluated. 3) The chemical reaction model for the secondary particulate formations is developed on the basis of the smog chamber experiments. 4) For the cost-effectiveness analysis of vehicle/fuel technologies, the output of the air quality modeling will be combined with the cost data of new vehicle emission reduction technologies As the first step, preliminary modeling studies are conducted to understand the overall tendency of the air quality change toward 2010 in Tokyo urban area.

The effect of the introduction of low-emission vehicles on potential air quality improvement in the Los Angeles area was predicted using a three-dimensional airshed simulation model. The simulations were based on ozone concentration estimates made on the basis of data released by the California Air Resources Board concerning projected quantities of emissions from various sources in 2010. Analyses were made of three scenarios. One assumed that LEV, ULEV and ZEV regulations were enforced as planned, a second assumed that these planned regulations were modified; and a third assumed that emission levels from various sources were reduced in line with the goals of the Air Quality Management Plan formulated by the South Coast Air Quality Management District.