Search Results

The environmental impact of aircraft, specifically in the areas of noise and NOx emissions, has been a growing community concern. Coupled with the increasing cost and diminishing supply of traditional fossil fuels, these concerns have fueled substantial interest in the research and development of alternative power sources for aircraft. In 2003, NASA and the Department of Defense awarded a five year research cooperative agreement to a team of researchers from three different universities to address the design and analysis of revolutionary aeropropulsion technologies.

Significant advances have been made recently in applying probabilistic methods to aerospace vehicle concepts. Given the explosive changes that are occurring in today’s political, social, and technological climate, it makes practical sense to try and extrapolate these methods to the campaign analysis level. This would allow the assessment of rapidly changing threat environments as well as technological advancements, aiding today’s decision makers. The following paper summarizes attempts to apply these methods directly to campaign analysis, and discusses the resulting issues that were identified as potential problem areas. A new approach is postulated which includes the application of probabilistic methods to a fully linked analysis environment. Applying and validating these new methods is an ongoing project.

Aircraft survivability is a key metric that contributes to the overall system effectiveness of military aircraft as well as to a lower life cycle cost. The aircraft designer, thus, must have a complete and thorough understanding of the interrelationships between the components of survivability and the other traditional disciplines as well as how they affect the overall life cycle cost of the aircraft. If this understanding occurs, the designer can then evaluate which components and technologies will create the most robust aircraft system with the best system effectiveness at the lowest cost. A synthesis and modeling environment is formulated and presented that will allow trade-off studies and analysis of survivability concepts to be conducted. This environment then becomes the testbed used to develop a comprehensive and structured probabilistic methodology, called the Probabilistic System of System Effectiveness Methodology (POSSEM), that will allow these trades to be conducted.

In today’s atmosphere of lower U.S. defense spending and reduced research budgets, determining how to allocate resources for research and design has become a critical and challenging task. In the area of aircraft design there are many promising technologies to be explored, yet limited funds with which to explore them. In addition, issues concerning uncertainty in technology readiness as well as the quantification of the impact of a technology (or combinations of technologies), are of key importance during the design process. The methodology presented in this paper details a comprehensive and structured process in which to explore the effects of technology for a given baseline aircraft. This process, called Technology Impact Forecasting (TIF), involves the creation of a forecasting environment for use in conjunction with defined technology scenarios. The advantages and limitations of the method will be discussed, as well its place in an overall methodology used for technology infusion.