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The safety and reliability of ground vehicles is a motivating factor for periodic maintenance which includes fluids, lubrication, cleaning, repairs, and general observation of key subsystems. The scheduling of maintenance activities can occur at different rates such as daily, weekly, or perhaps operating time based on collected historical data and general guidelines. The availability of a digital twin (DT), which offers a virtual representation of the vehicle behavior, enables virtual system simulations for different operating cycles to explore the dynamic behavior. When field operating fleet data can be integrated with the digital twin estimates, then this supplemental information can be combined with the existing maintenance plan to provide a more comprehensive approach. In this paper, a digital twin with a statistical based predictive maintenance strategy is investigated for a wheeled military ground vehicle.

Digital twin technology has become impactful in Industry 4.0 as it enables engineers to design, simulate, and analyze complex systems and products. As a result of the synergy between physical and virtual realms, innovation in the “real twin” or actual product is more effectively fostered. The availability of verified computer models that describe the target system is important for realistic simulations that provide operating behaviors that can be leveraged for future design studies or predictive maintenance algorithms. In this paper, a digital twin is created for an offroad tracked vehicle that can operate in either autonomous or remote-control modes. Mathematical models are presented and implemented to describe the twin track and vehicle chassis governing dynamics. These components are interfaced through the nonlinear suspension elements and distributed bogies.

The design of transportation vehicles, whether passenger or commercial, typically involves a lengthy process from concept to prototype and eventual manufacture. To improve competitiveness, original equipment manufacturers are continually exploring ways to shorten the design process. The application of digital tools such as computer-aided-design and computer-aided-engineering, as well as model-based computer simulation enable team members to virtually design and evaluate ideas within realistic operating environments. Recent advances in machine learning (ML)/artificial intelligence (AI) can be integrated into this paradigm to shorten the initial design sequence through the creation of digital agents. A digital agent can intelligently explore the design space to identify promising component features which can be collectively assessed within a virtual vehicle simulation.

Design of internal combustion (IC) engine pistons is dependent on accurate prediction of the temperature field in the component. Experimental temperature measurements can be taken but are costly and typically limited to a few select locations. High-fidelity computer simulations can be used to predict the temperature at any number of locations within the model, but the models must be calibrated for the predictions to be accurate. The largest barrier to calibration of piston thermal models is estimating the backside boundary conditions, as there is not much literature available for these boundary conditions. Bayesian model calibration is a common choice for model calibration in literature, but little research is available applying this method to piston thermal models. Neural networks have been shown in literature to be effective for calibration of piston thermal models.

The application of virtual engineering methods can streamline the product design process through improved collaboration opportunities among the technical staff and facilitate additive manufacturing processes. A product digital twin can be created using the available computer-aided design and analytical mathematical models to numerically explore the current and future system performance based on operating cycles. The strategic decision to implement a digital twin is of interest to companies, whether the required financial and workforce resources will be worthwhile. In this paper, two metrics are introduced to assist management teams in evaluating the technology potential. The usefulness and time savings metrics will be presented with accompanying definitions. A case study highlights the usefulness metric for the “Deep Orange” prototype vehicle, an innovative off-road hybrid vehicle designed and fabricated at Clemson University.

Drive cycles are a core piece of vehicle development testing methodology. The control and calibration of the vehicle is often tuned over drive cycles as they are the best representation of the real-world driving the vehicle will see during deployment. To obtain general performance numerous drive cycles must be generated to ensure final control and calibration avoids overfitting to the specifics of a single drive cycle. When real-world driving cycles are difficult to acquire methods can be used to create statistically similar synthetic drive cycles to avoid the overfitting problem. This subject has been well addressed within the passenger vehicle domain but must be expanded upon for utilization with tracked off-road vehicles. Development of hybrid tracked vehicles has increased this need further. This study shows that turning dynamics have significant influence on the vehicle power demand and on the power demand on each individual track.

Fatigue analysis of pistons is reliant on an accurate representation of the high temperatures to which they are exposed. It can be difficult to represent this accurately, because instrumented tests to validate piston thermal models typically include only measurements near the piston crown and there are many unknown backside heat transfer coefficients (HTCs). Previously, a methodology was proposed to aid in the estimation of HTCs for backside convection boundary conditions of a stratified charge compression ignition (SCCI) piston. This methodology relies on Bayesian inference of backside HTC using a co-simulation between computational fluid dynamics (CFD) and finite element analysis (FEA) solvers. Although this methodology primarily utilizes the more computationally efficient FEA model for the iterations in the calibration, this can still be a computationally expensive process.

As powertrain hybridization technologies are becoming popular, their application for heavy-duty military vehicles is drawing attention. An intelligent design and operation of the energy management system (EMS) is important to ensure that hybrid military vehicles can operate efficiently, simultaneously maximize fuel economy and minimize monetary cost, while successfully completing mission tasks. Furthermore, an integrated EMS framework is vital to ensure a functional vehicle power system (VPS) to survive through critical missions in a highly stochastic environment, when needed. This calls for situational awareness and dynamic system reconfiguration capabilities on-board of the military vehicle. This paper presents a new energy management and control (EMC) framework based on holistic situational awareness (SA) and dynamic reconfiguration of the VPS.

Modeling and simulation of ground vehicles can be a computationally expensive problem due to the complexity of high-fidelity vehicle models. Often to determine mobility metrics, multiple stochastic simulations need to be evaluated. Surrogate models, or models of models, offer a means to reduce the computational cost of these simulation efforts. Since various types of surrogate models are available to the user, choosing the best surrogate model for a simulation is mostly the challenging process. In this paper, the process of selecting surrogate models and its uses based on model metafeatures is presented. The approach formulates this decision as a trade-off among three main drivers, required dataset size (how much information is necessary to compute the surrogate model), surrogate model accuracy (how accurate the surrogate model must be) and total computational time (how much time is required for the surrogate modeling process).

The integration of sensors, actuators, and real-time control in transportation systems enables intelligent system operation to minimize energy consumption and maximize occupant safety and vehicle reliability. The operating cycle of military ground vehicles can be on- and off-road in harsh weather and adversarial environments, which demands continuous subsystem functionality to fulfill missions. Onboard diagnostic systems can alert the operator of a degraded operation once established fault thresholds are exceeded. An opportunity exists to estimate vehicle maintenance needs using model-based predicted trends and eventually compiled information from fleet operating databases. A digital twin, created to virtually describe the dynamic behavior of a physical system using computer-mathematical models, can estimate the system behavior based on current and future operating scenarios while accounting for past effects.

Warranty forecasting of repairable systems is very important for manufacturers of mass produced systems. It is desired to predict the Expected Number of Failures (ENF) after a censoring time using collected failure data before the censoring time. Moreover, systems may be produced with a defective component resulting in extensive warranty costs even after the defective component is detected and replaced with a new design. In this paper, we present a forecasting method to predict the ENF of a repairable system using observed data which is used to calibrate a Generalized Renewal Processes (GRP) model. Manufacturing of products may exhibit different production patterns with different failure statistics through time. For example, vehicles produced in different months may have different failure intensities because of supply chain differences or different skills of production workers, for example.

Assessing the dynamic performance of multilayer plates subjected to impulsive loading is of interest for identifying configurations that either absorb energy or transmit the energy in the transverse directions, thereby mitigating the through-thickness energy propagation. A reduced-order modeling approach is presented in this paper for rapidly evaluating the structural dynamic performance of various multilayer plate designs. The new approach is based on the reverberation matrix method (RMM) with the theory of generalized rays for fast analysis of the structural dynamic characteristics of multilayer plates. In the RMM model, the waves radiated from the dynamic load are reflected and refracted at each interface between layers, and the waves within each layer are transmitted with a phase lag. These two phenomena are represented by the global scattering matrix and the global phase matrix, respectively.

Implications of decision analysis (DA) on engineering design are important and well-documented. However, widespread adoption has not occurred. To that end, the authors recently proposed decision topologies (DT) as a visual method for representing decision situations and proved that they are entirely consistent with normative decision analysis. This paper addresses the practical issue of assessing the DTs of a designer using their responses. As in classical DA, this step is critical to encoding the DA's preferences so that further analysis and mathematical optimization can be performed on the correct set of preferences. We show how multi-attribute DTs can be directly assessed from DM responses. Furthermore, we show that preferences under uncertainty can be trivially incorporated and that topologies can be constructed using single attribute topologies similarly to multi-linear functions in utility analysis. This incremental construction simplifies the process of topology construction.

The reliability theory of repairable systems is vastly different from that of non-repairable systems. The authors have recently proposed a ‘decision-based’ framework to design and maintain repairable systems for optimal performance and reliability using a set of metrics such as minimum failure free period, number of failures in planning horizon (lifecycle), and cost. The optimal solution includes the initial design, the system maintenance throughout the planning horizon, and the protocol to operate the system. In this work, we extend this idea by incorporating flexibility and demonstrate our approach using a smart charging electric microgrid architecture. The flexibility is realized by allowing the architecture to change with time. Our approach “learns” the working characteristics of the microgrid. We use actual load and supply data over a short time to quantify the load and supply random processes and also establish the correlation between them.

The goal of this work is to develop an efficient numerical modeling method for the vibration of hybrid electric vehicle (HEV) battery packs to support probabilistic forced response simulations and fatigue life predictions. There are two important sources of variations in HEV battery packs that affect their structural dynamic response. One source is the uncertain level of pre-stress due to bolts or welds used for joining cells within a pack. The other source is small structural variations among the cells of a battery pack. The structural dynamics of HEV battery packs are known to feature very high modal density in many frequency bands. That is because packs are composed of nominally identical cells. The high modal density combined with small, random structural variations among the cells can lead to drastic variations in the dynamic response compared with those of the ideal nominal system.

In this paper a Multi-Level System (MLS) optimization algorithm is presented and utilized for the multi-discipline design of a ground vehicle track. The MLS can guide the decision making process for designing a complex system where many alternatives and many mutually competing objectives and disciplines need to be considered and evaluated. Mathematical relationships between the design variables and the multiple discipline performance objectives are developed adaptively as the various design considerations are evaluated and as the design is being evolved. These relationships are employed for rewarding performance improvement during the decision making process by allocating more resources to the disciplines which exhibit the higher level of improvement. The track analysis demonstrates how a multi-discipline design approach can be pursued in ground vehicle applications.

Reaching a system level reliability target is an inverse problem. Component level reliabilities are determined for a required system level reliability. Because this inverse problem does not have a unique solution, one approach is to tradeoff system reliability with cost and to allow the designer to select a design with a target system reliability, using his/her preferences. In this case, the component reliabilities are readily available from the calculation of the reliability-cost tradeoff. To arrive at the set of solutions to be traded off, one encounters two problems. First, the system reliability calculation is based on repeated system simulations where each system state, indicating which components work and which have failed, is tested to determine if it causes system failure, and second, the task of eliciting and encoding the decision maker's preferences is extremely difficult because of uncertainty in modeling the decision maker's preferences.

Understanding reliability is critical in design, maintenance and durability analysis of engineering systems. A reliability simulation methodology is presented in this paper for vehicle fleets using limited data. The method can be used to estimate the reliability of non-repairable as well as repairable systems. It can optimally allocate, based on a target system reliability, individual component reliabilities using a multi-objective optimization algorithm. The algorithm establishes a Pareto front that can be used for optimal tradeoff between reliability and the associated cost. The method uses Monte Carlo simulation to estimate the system failure rate and reliability as a function of time. The probability density functions (PDF) of the time between failures for all components of the system are estimated using either limited data or a user-supplied MTBF (mean time between failures) and its coefficient of variation.

Many efficient modeling methods have been developed for analyzing the effects of component-level variations and uncertainties on the system-level response of complex structures. However, relatively little work has addressed the efficient or agile modeling of variations in the connections between components. Such a capability would be useful for simulation (e.g., performing reliability analysis accounting for spot welding variations) and design (e.g., determining fastener locations for up-armor kits) of commercial and military ground vehicle structures. In this work, a component mode synthesis approach to structural modeling is enhanced by also modeling variations in the connections between components. With this framework, changes in the joining or fastening of the components can be considered in a structural analysis or design process. The components are condensed statically or dynamically with all the candidate joining nodes being retained as active degrees of freedom.

When performing vibration analysis of complex vehicle structures, it is often important to be able to evaluate the effects of design changes in one or more substructures (e.g., for design optimization). It may also be convenient to allow different components to be modeled independently by different groups or organizations. For both cases, it is inevitable that some substructures will have non-matching finite element meshes at the interface where they are physically connected. Thus, a key challenge is to be able to handle the dynamic assembly of components with non-matching meshes and the subsequent global vibration analysis in a systematic and efficient manner. To tackle this problem, the enhancement of component mode synthesis methods for handling finite element models partitioned into non-matching substructures is considered in this paper. Some existing methods are reviewed, and new methods are developed.