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Technical Paper

The Psychological and Accident Reconstruction “Thresholds” of Drivers' Detection of Relative Velocity

2014-04-01
2014-01-0437
Relative velocity detection thresholds of drivers are one factor that determines their ability to avoid rear-end crashes. Laboratory, simulator and driving studies show that drivers could scale relative velocity when it exceeded the threshold of about 0.003 rad/sec. Studies using accident reconstruction have suggested that the threshold may be about ten times larger. This paper discusses this divergence and suggests reasons for it and concludes that the lower value should be used as a true measure of the psychological threshold for detection of relative velocity.
Technical Paper

Estimating the Expected Effectiveness of Enhanced Ground Proximity Warning Systems in Reducing Controlled Flight Into Terrain by Aircraft Operating under Part-135

2000-04-11
2000-01-2105
In order to reduce “Controlled Flight Into Terrain” (CFIT) accidents the FAA proposed, in 1998, the regulation that Enhanced Ground Proximity Warning Systems (EGPWS) should be installed in all turbine powered aircraft with 6 or more seats for passengers, operating under Federal Aviation Regulation Part-135 (commuter and charter operations). We analyzed all Part-135 crashes of this type using NTSB aviation accident data from 1983 to 1998. There were 15 crashes involving CFIT. We asked 26 experienced pilots to examine the brief narratives of the crashes and to estimate the probability that had the aircraft been equipped with EGPWS, the crews would have avoided the crashes. Based on the ratings, the median probability that Part 135 crashes would be avoided using EGPWS was 59%. We describe the nature of the crashes, the human factors involved and the reasons why the enhanced terrain warning is only partly effective.
Technical Paper

The High Mounted Brake Lamp - The 4% Solution

1999-03-01
1999-01-0089
The paper reviews some of the underpinnings of the research that was done that led to adoption of the high mounted brake lamp. The expected reduction in rearend collisions of 50%, attributable to the lamp, has not been realized. Most recently, a reduction of 4% was reported. This large difference between the predicted effectiveness of the safety device with its actual effect is disturbing. The paper attempts to show the reasons for the low effectiveness which include a lack of evidence for the high-mounting location, overriding an SAE standard on the intensity of high-mounted rear signal lamps and no valid theory of driver performance.
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